March 4 Wind Advisory And First Look At Subsequent Weekend Storm
March 4, 2023
Saturday Morning
The newest storm crashed by in a single day with some studies of lighting and thunder. The rainfall totals did surpass 1 inch for a lot of, and now that storm is dropping a basic snow and ice combine throughout New England.
With a robust winter storm, sturdy winds usually comply with and that’s what we’ll expertise in the present day. A Wind Advisory is in place with peak winds anticipated this morning by early afternoon. Then we’ll finish the weekend with a nice Sunday.
Wanting forward, a sample shift (I do know you might have heard this earlier than) will try and carry us a storm subsequent weekend. I’ve my first look beneath.
Morning Floor Climate
The Storm is positioned in New England, with snow within the mountains. The ice and rain line pushed farther north for them than initially anticipated. That is necessary to notice because it’s been our pattern in addition to the bullseye area all winter. I’ll think about this bias for subsequent weekend.
Robust Winds for The Mid Atlantic because of the steep strain gradient.
Wind Alerts
Excessive Wind Warning for the mountains. Peaks might get gusts as much as 65 mph.
Wind Advisory for many central and concrete areas. Winds will common 25 mph and gust as much as 50 mph.
Wind Forecast Snapshot
Excessive Wind Warning for the mountains. Peaks might get gusts as much as 65 mph.
Wind Advisory for many central and concrete areas. Winds will common 25 mph and gust as much as 50 mph.
Wind Forecast Animation
8 AM to Midnight
The winds ought to peak noon then ease by the night.
Temperatures
Morning
Afternoon
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY March 4
Regular Low in Baltimore: 31ºF
File 13ºF in 1966
SNOW: 7.8” in 1957
Regular Excessive in Baltimore: 51ºF
File 74ºF in 1982
March Snow and Excessive Climate Historical past
https://justinweather.com/2023/02/28/march-snow-history-the-madness-of-weather-potential-this-month/
Sunday
This could find yourself a sunny and quiet day. Lighter wind and delicate temperatures.
Morning
Afternoon
Wanting Forward
Monday Night To Tuesday Night
A weak system will cross by to our north. The moisture could not attain us with greater than clouds, however it can shift the winds and begin the cooling pattern.
Jet Stream: Sample Change
I do know this has been anticipated many instances this winter. Right here we see it once more and there may be extra ‘girth’ behind it.
Forecast Wednesday Night To Monday Morning
Discover the Deep Trough (blue/inexperienced) constructing for the East Coast. That’s the core of chilly air and sign for a robust storm on the coast subsequent weekend.
Jet Stream Snapshot Sunday
Storm Improvement?
ECMWF Mannequin
Most occasions projected 1 week away have tended to confirm farther north. So I’m very skeptical of this. Simply utilizing this as a base to match for day by day developments.
Animation: Friday Evening to Monday Morning
This answer from the European Mannequin does counsel a protracted length winter occasion. It comes on the anniversary of the 1993 Superstorm, however there is excellent cause to be suspicious.
7 Day Forecast
The noticeable mark on this outlook would be the chilly entrance mid-week, trending cooler. That is what I discussed in my March Outlook. It’s doable to finish up cooler than common and maintain temps much like most of this winter (when it was above common).
The potential storm I confirmed above could find yourself on Saturday and Sunday, so it’s not on this view but.
EXPLORE MORE
NOAA OUTLOOK: Colder March
RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
(I share this on my electronic mail publication)
I’m conscious there are some spelling and grammar typos, and different occasional glitches. I take accountability for my errors, and even the pc glitches I could miss.
I’ve made a couple of public statements over time, however in case you are new right here you’ll have missed it:
I’ve dyslexia, and came upon throughout my second yr at Cornell College. It didn’t cease me from getting my meteorology diploma, and being the primary to get the AMS CBM within the Baltimore/Washington area. One in every of my professors advised me that I made it that far with out figuring out, so don’t let or not it’s a crutch going ahead. That was Mark Wysocki and he was completely appropriate! I stored it in my pocket hidden away till about 10 years in the past.
I do miss my errors in my very own proofreading. The auto-correct spell examine on my pc generally does an injustice to make it worse. I may make errors in forecasting. Nobody is ideal predicting the longer term.
All the maps and data are correct. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There was no editor that may examine my work after I want it and have it able to ship out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the online workforce that helps me keep this website. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is in a position. I sincerely respect her for that. At instances, her edits could possibly be AFTER you learn my posts.
I settle for this and maybe it proves what you learn is actually from me…
It’s a part of my appeal.
#FITF
Additionally See:
Winter Historical past: Low Snow And Late Begins
See my analysis primarily based on Baltimore information since 1883.
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STEM Assemblies/In Faculty Fields Journeys Are Again
Click on to see extra and ‘Ebook’ a go to to your faculty
My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!
I see many elements to assist colder affect with a number of methods. Early and later in winter. Test it out. https://justinweather.com/2022/11/22/winter-outlook-2023-for-snow-not-typical-la-nina-plus-polar-vortex-disruption/
Additionally See The Winter Outlook Collection:
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Farmer’s Almanac Comparability
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
Triple Dip La Niña Winter
CONNECTION TO WINTER?
If you need a snowy winter, that is what you may wish to search for in the remainder of the tropical season. https://justinweather.com/2022/08/31/record-august-for-no-named-tropical-storms-closer-look-at-snow-following/
Woolly Bear Caterpillars
https://justinweather.com/2022/10/25/winter-weather-outlook-from-the-wooly-bear-caterpillar/
Persimmon Seeds
Winter Climate Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore
Click on to see High 20 and MORE
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
Normals And Information: Maryland and Baltimore Local weather Historical past
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